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AMATStocks

Applied Materials — trading strategies, backtested

Over this window, none of these beat buy & hold — exactly the kind of result this is built to show you honestly, losses and all. This compares how 28 mechanical strategies behaved on historical Applied Materials (AMAT) price data. It is not a view on Applied Materials as an investment, and not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold it — or to use any strategy on it.

Of the 26 with enough data to judge, 0 beat buy & hold · 2 didn't have enough data to judge yet. Results are simulated backtests over the last ~5 years, shown whole — losses included — not live or future performance.

Listed in a neutral catalog order — not ranked by performance. Combinations we can't judge yet — too little data — are grouped separately below.

Here, “beat” means only a higher total return than buy & hold over this one past window — not risk-adjusted, not luck-checked. The out-of-sample, walk-forward and luck checks live on each individual backtest.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. This is an educational, analytical tool — not investment advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. You make all decisions and execute on your own broker.

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER- OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

Backtest on this asset

28 strategies on Applied Materials

MACD Lagged buy & hold

A momentum gauge built from the gap between a fast and a slow EMA, with a signal line that is an EMA of that gap.

RSI Reversion Lagged buy & hold

RSI measures how stretched recent gains are versus losses on a 0-100 scale — a gauge of stretch, not a prediction of a turn.

Connors RSI-2 Lagged buy & hold

Larry Connors' short-term dip-buy: a trend-filtered mean-reversion rule that buys deep RSI(2) oversold readings only while price sits above its long trend filter.

Bollinger Band Reversion Lagged buy & hold

Bollinger Bands are a standard-deviation envelope around a moving average; a close below the lower band reads as a statistically stretched-down move.

Bollinger Band Breakout Lagged buy & hold

A rule that reads a close beyond the upper Bollinger band — a standard-deviation envelope around a moving average — as the start of a move.

Donchian Breakout Lagged buy & hold

The 'turtle' channel rule: it tracks the highest high and lowest low of a recent window (both excluding the current bar) and trades a break beyond them.

Stochastic Oscillator Lagged buy & hold

The Stochastic %K shows where the close sits inside the recent high-low range on a 0-100 scale — a range/reversion gauge.

Time-Series Momentum Lagged buy & hold

Time-series (absolute) momentum measures the asset against itself, not a ranking: it compares the asset's own trailing 12-month return (skipping the last ~month) to its own history.

Parabolic SAR Lagged buy & hold

Wilder's 'stop and reverse' dot: a trailing stop that accelerates toward price as a move runs, flipping the trend reading when price crosses it.

Ichimoku Cloud Lagged buy & hold

The Ichimoku 'cloud' is a band built from midpoints of past highs and lows, displaced forward so it derives only from past data; price above it reads bullish.

ADX / DMI Trend Lagged buy & hold

The Directional Movement system splits into +DI and -DI (which side leads) and ADX (how much of a trend is present, 0-100).

200-Day MA Regime Lagged buy & hold

The most-watched long-term regime filter: a single line that reads the market as an uptrend while price holds above its long moving average.

52-Week High Breakout Lagged buy & hold

A breakout rule that reads a new roughly one-year high (the channel excludes the current bar) as a sign that the up-move may continue.

Keltner Channel Breakout Lagged buy & hold

A rule that reads a close beyond an ATR-width channel around an EMA — a volatility-based cousin of Bollinger bands — as the start of a move.

Heikin-Ashi Trend Lagged buy & hold

Heikin-Ashi ('average bar') redraws each candle from an average of price and the prior candle's own averaged values — a smoothed view of the same real price.

Awesome Oscillator Lagged buy & hold

The gap between a fast (5-bar) and slow (34-bar) average of each bar's midpoint — a momentum gauge that is positive when the fast average leads.

Commodity Channel Index Lagged buy & hold

The Commodity Channel Index gauges how far the typical price has stretched from its recent average, scaled by its own average deviation — a stretch reading, not a prediction.

Stochastic RSI Lagged buy & hold

Stochastic RSI applies the Stochastic formula to RSI itself, showing where current RSI sits in its own recent range on a 0-1 scale — a fast, noisy stretch gauge.

On-Balance Volume Lagged buy & hold

On-Balance Volume is a running total that adds volume on up-days and subtracts it on down-days, so the line rises when up-day volume dominates.

Money Flow Index Lagged buy & hold

The Money Flow Index is a volume-weighted RSI: it weights each day's typical price by volume, then gauges how stretched buying pressure is versus selling on a 0-100 scale.

Chaikin Money Flow Lagged buy & hold

Chaikin Money Flow reads where each close sits inside its bar's range, weights that by volume, and averages it to a -1..+1 reading; above zero suggests inflows.

Aroon Lagged buy & hold

Aroon reads how recently the highest high and the lowest low occurred over a lookback window — Aroon Up sits near 100 just after a fresh high and decays as that high ages, and Aroon Down does the same for fresh lows.

Vortex Indicator Lagged buy & hold

The Vortex Indicator builds two lines from the distance between each bar and the prior bar's opposite extreme — VI+ from this high versus the prior low, VI− from this low versus the prior high — each divided by the true range summed over a lookback.

Fair Value Gap Lagged buy & hold

A three-candle price imbalance — a gap between the first candle's high and the third candle's low, confirmed at the third candle's close — that price may later return to before continuing higher or filling back in.

False Break Lagged buy & hold

The observable half of a liquidity sweep: a new low beyond the last N closed bars' support that a later bar closes back above — the failed push lower that reclaimed the level, read from price alone with no claim about resting orders a feed cannot show.

TTM Squeeze Lagged buy & hold

A rule that reads low realized volatility — the Bollinger Bands compressed inside the Keltner Channels drawn around the same moving average — as a coiled range, and the release of that compression, with momentum leaning up, as the start of a move.

Where a backtest fits

Backtesting is one stage of preparing to trade, not the finish line. The full discipline runs five: Understand, Test, Stress-test, Forward-test, then Decide — eyes open. Most ideas should wash out in the first three, and every stage is a place to stop, for free — but the rare idea that survives all five is the one worth taking into the market with your eyes open, and finding it before you risk a cent is the whole point.