How the Hunt grades
The Hunt grades every name in the sandbox universe on the same plain checks — business quality first — and sorts them into quality tiers. It is a grade to test yourself, a screener you operate — never a buy list and never a forecast of return.
The four checks
The same four, on every name, every day.
Graded SOUND / FLAGGED / UNPROVEN from the figures the company files (cash flow, margins, debt, return on capital), sector-aware. A name we can't grade from the data is marked UNGRADED, never guessed; a fund or commodity, which has no company behind it, is marked not-applicable.
Read from the name's distance to its own 20-, 50- and 200-day moving averages. Trading clear of all of them reads CLEAN; in free-fall, or stretched far above them, reads BAD (chasing a name there is the classic way to buy the top).
Over the next ~60 trading days, whether the name's own recent volatility puts a +12% move within reach. A NEAR-shelf check only. It describes how much the name tends to move — not the odds that a move pays off.
Whether it trades meaningfully below its OWN 1-year high — a price the market actually traded, a plain fact. A FAR-shelf check. We never use a third-party analyst price target: attributing one would imply an endorsement we don't have.
What a rung means
A rung is a quality tier, strongest first (Top Shelf → Bottom Shelf). Business quality sets it: a name whose business hasn't been shown sound sits near the bottom whatever its chart, and the top tiers need a sound business and a clean trend. It is a grade of quality, not an order of how likely a move is — the default view groups names by this grade, and you can re-sort them however helps.
A rung is a quality grade — the tier a name earns on our checks, business quality first — not a forecast that it will rise. We group by grade, never by how likely a move is.
A name's 1-year high is a price the market actually traded — a plain fact, not a forecast and not a price target.
Two shelves
Names that set up cleanly for a quick +12% move — judged on business, trend, and how fast the name tends to move. Speed is the defining check here.
Names that set up to work back toward their own 1-year high — judged on business, trend, and the size of the gap. Speed isn't tested here.
Why we don't rank by how many methods agree
The obvious way to rank a screener is “more methods agree → stronger.” We measured that on our own strategies across ten years of data, and we refuse to do it. Here is exactly what the measurement found:
- The methods aren't independent. Measuring how our strategies fire together, the trend and breakout methods collapse into ONE family — so “N methods agree” counts the same bet many times over, not many separate opinions.
- More agreement did NOT mark a better result — it leaned negative at every horizon we tested, never positive. At our primary three-month horizon the interval barely included zero; at six months it excluded zero, though that six-month window is also the most thinly-powered. The direction, not any single cell, is what the decision rests on.
- The more of the trend family firing on a name — the “strongly-extended” signature — the WORSE it tended to do next (about −2.2 percentage points at three months, interval excluding zero). This reproduces an out-of-sample audit from the system we ported.
- A “how well-tested” sort carried no forward content either — it leaned slightly negative too.
So the Hunt never sorts by agreement. It groups names by the quality grade and lets you re-sort on plain facts. We measured our own “more methods agreeing means stronger” signal, found it doesn't hold, and refuse to rank by it — and we publish that measurement. That refusal is the point.
What this grade is not
- Graded only on names in the sandbox universe today — names that failed or delisted aren't here, so the picture flatters the survivors.
- One market, graded on one day's data. A grade is a snapshot, not a track record.
- The measurement behind the no-ranking decision has thin statistical power (about 18 independent long-horizon windows in ten years). The direction — never positive — is robust across several independent checks, but a precise effect size is not pinned down.
- Crypto can't validate findings drawn from stocks, so the agreement signal is suppressed there: a stock-derived posture never orders a crypto row.
Not advice to buy, sell, or size anything. The checks are mechanical; what you do with them is your own call.