Stratsemble

SuperTrend strategy — on every asset

SuperTrend places a trailing line a multiple of Average True Range away from price; it flips bullish/bearish as price crosses it. Go long while it reads bullish, flat when bearish. A volatility-adaptive trend follower.

How the rule triggers — illustrative
trailing lineflips hereflips back — whipsaw

An illustration of where the rule triggers — not real prices, and not a signal to act. The dashed forks mean the outcome is undetermined; whether the rule made money is what a backtest measures.

How it behaves in different markets

Through a sustained one-way move — By construction it trails a volatility-scaled line behind price and re-enters only when price re-crosses it.

In a choppy, sideways range — In a choppy, sideways range price crosses the line repeatedly — it whipsaws in and out, and the trailing gap means it gives back part of a move before each exit.

Whether that behaviour produced excess return on your asset over your window is exactly what your backtest measures — we publish no profit claims.

How it works — step by step
  • • Entry — Go long when price crosses above the trailing line (it flips to a bullish reading).
  • • Exit — Go flat when price crosses below the line (it flips to a bearish reading).
  • • Fills, scoring & data — Every backtest fills at the next real open and scores on the real price against a real buy-and-hold, never a smoothed or derived series.

None of these have enough completed trades or history over this window to judge honestly yet — you can still run any of them yourself over a period you choose. This one strategy was tested on 91 different assets. With that many attempts, some will beat buy & hold by chance alone — which is why these are listed neutrally, not ranked by which ones came out ahead. To see whether any single result survives scrutiny, run the out-of-sample, walk-forward and multiple-testing checks on its backtest.

Listed in a neutral catalog order — not ranked by performance. Combinations we can't judge yet — too little data — are grouped separately below.

Here, “beat” means only a higher total return than buy & hold over this one past window — not risk-adjusted, not luck-checked. The out-of-sample, walk-forward and luck checks live on each individual backtest.

Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. This is an educational, analytical tool — not investment advice, and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. You make all decisions and execute on your own broker.

HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER- OR OVER-COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

Stocks

SuperTrend on stocks

Not enough data to judge yet — not a negative result
AAPL · AppleNot enough data to judge
AMZN · AmazonNot enough data to judge
NVDA · NvidiaNot enough data to judge
PLTR · PalantirNot enough data to judge
AMD · AMDNot enough data to judge
MSFT · MicrosoftNot enough data to judge
META · MetaNot enough data to judge
NFLX · NetflixNot enough data to judge
COIN · CoinbaseNot enough data to judge
TSLA · TeslaNot enough data to judge
GOOGL · Alphabet (Google)Not enough data to judge
AVGO · BroadcomNot enough data to judge
JPM · JPMorgan ChaseNot enough data to judge
V · VisaNot enough data to judge
WMT · WalmartNot enough data to judge
DIS · DisneyNot enough data to judge
KO · Coca-ColaNot enough data to judge
XOM · ExxonMobilNot enough data to judge
JNJ · Johnson & JohnsonNot enough data to judge
HD · Home DepotNot enough data to judge
BAC · Bank of AmericaNot enough data to judge
ORCL · OracleNot enough data to judge
MCD · McDonald'sNot enough data to judge
BRK-B · Berkshire HathawayNot enough data to judge
INTC · IntelNot enough data to judge
CSCO · CiscoNot enough data to judge
COST · CostcoNot enough data to judge
PEP · PepsiCoNot enough data to judge
ADBE · AdobeNot enough data to judge
QCOM · QualcommNot enough data to judge
AMGN · AmgenNot enough data to judge
SBUX · StarbucksNot enough data to judge
TXN · Texas InstrumentsNot enough data to judge
MU · Micron TechnologyNot enough data to judge
INTU · IntuitNot enough data to judge
ISRG · Intuitive SurgicalNot enough data to judge
BKNG · Booking HoldingsNot enough data to judge
GILD · Gilead SciencesNot enough data to judge
AMAT · Applied MaterialsNot enough data to judge
MDLZ · MondelezNot enough data to judge
TMUS · T-Mobile USNot enough data to judge
CMCSA · ComcastNot enough data to judge
PYPL · PayPalNot enough data to judge
ASML · ASMLNot enough data to judge
LLY · Eli LillyNot enough data to judge
UNH · UnitedHealth GroupNot enough data to judge
MA · MastercardNot enough data to judge
PG · Procter & GambleNot enough data to judge
CVX · ChevronNot enough data to judge
MRK · MerckNot enough data to judge
ABBV · AbbVieNot enough data to judge
CRM · SalesforceNot enough data to judge
ACN · AccentureNot enough data to judge
NKE · NikeNot enough data to judge
PFE · PfizerNot enough data to judge
TMO · Thermo Fisher ScientificNot enough data to judge
ABT · Abbott LaboratoriesNot enough data to judge
LIN · LindeNot enough data to judge
DHR · DanaherNot enough data to judge
CAT · CaterpillarNot enough data to judge
GS · Goldman SachsNot enough data to judge
MS · Morgan StanleyNot enough data to judge
HON · HoneywellNot enough data to judge
UNP · Union PacificNot enough data to judge
RTX · RTX (Raytheon)Not enough data to judge
LOW · Lowe'sNot enough data to judge
BA · BoeingNot enough data to judge
GE · GE AerospaceNot enough data to judge
ETFs

SuperTrend on etfs

Commodities

SuperTrend on commodities

Crypto

SuperTrend on crypto

Where a backtest fits

Backtesting is one stage of preparing to trade, not the finish line. The full discipline runs five: Understand, Test, Stress-test, Forward-test, then Decide — eyes open. The rare idea that survives all five is the one worth taking into the market with your eyes open — and every stage before it is a place to stop, for free, as most ideas wash out in the first three. Finding that rare idea before you risk a cent is the whole point.

Indicator and strategy names identify the published rule being tested; no affiliation with, or endorsement by, any person or trademark owner is implied.