Stratsemble
Preparation · Stage 2 of 5 — Test
LTC · LitecoinCrypto

Does the 52-Week High Breakout strategy beat buy & hold on Litecoin? (LTC · backtested honestly)

A breakout rule that reads a new roughly one-year high (the channel excludes the current bar) as a sign that the up-move may continue.

Lagged buy & hold2021-10-30 → 2026-10-28 · 1,825 barsCosts & slippage onvs Buy & HoldHypothetical · not advice
Total return
-72.9%
Buy & hold -68.9%
vs Buy & Hold
-3.9 pts
lagged the benchmark
Max drawdown
-74.9%
Sharpe -0.68 · 4 trades
The honest read

Over this period, 52-Week High Breakout on Litecoin returned -72.9%, while simply buying and holding returned -68.9% — it lagged buy & hold by 3.9 points, with a worst drawdown of -74.9%. It traded 4 times and sat in cash about 84% of the time. It's a mechanism you test.

What this settles — and the next dig

It lagged buy & hold over this window — that's a result, and a backtest you can kill for free just did its job. Re-tuning this same idea until it looks better only adds another shot at looking good by luck, so the honest next move is a fresh one: test a different strategy on Litecoin, or build your own — free. Most ideas die cheaply right here, and that's exactly how the rare one that holds up gets found.

Or stop here — walking away from an idea that didn't beat simply holding is a result, not a failure.

Interactive

Run it yourself

Change the parameters and the window, then re-run — no account needed.

Change the rules? Open the 52-Week High Breakout rules on Litecoin in the no-code builder — the same rules tested here — and make them your own.

Open in the builder →
Put this honest verdict on your site

A live badge that re-runs itself and links back here. Free to embed on any blog, newsletter or forum — it shows the honest result, beat or lagged.

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The Proving Ground

See which strategies actually beat buy & hold — and which only look like they do.

Free, in seconds, no sign-up. Put any famous strategy to the proof the honest way — real costs, every loss shown, measured against simply holding — so a tip, a guru, or your own hope can't fool you.

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  • See if it's an edge, or just luck
  • Read today's names that cleared every check
Test · the proof
Does QCOM + 52-Week High Breakout really beat just holding it?

Put it to the proof the honest way — real costs, every loss, measured against simply holding. Free, no sign-up.

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Catch the lie
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Stress-test · the prop-firm gauntlet
Would it survive a funded-account challenge?

Check a strategy against the real drawdown and profit-target rules of a prop-firm evaluation.

Put it through →

an honest backtest — real costs on, measured against simply buying & holding

How to read this
  • • The strategy line is 52-Week High Breakout on Litecoin; the dashed line is simply buying and holding LTC. Beating the dashed line is the whole point — many strategies don't.
  • • Max drawdown is the worst peak-to-trough fall you'd have sat through. A higher return with a much deeper drawdown is not obviously better.
  • • Every fill assumes next-open execution with costs & slippage on — no acting on prices you couldn't have known.
  • • A small number of trades means a small sample. Treat a great-looking result on a handful of trades with suspicion.
What this is — and isn't

This is a hypothetical backtest of a well-known mechanism on past data. It is not advice, not a prediction, and not a claim that the strategy works. We hold no funds and place no orders. The value here is the ability to test an idea honestly — see where it would have helped, and where it would have hurt — before you ever risk real money on your own broker.

How this is computed → · who's behind it · where a backtest fits

See what actually beats buy & hold — most don't, here are the rare few that do →

Indicator and strategy names identify the published rule being tested; no affiliation with, or endorsement by, any person or trademark owner is implied.