Stratsemble
Preparation · Stage 2 of 5 — Test
AVGO · BroadcomStocks

Does the RSI Reversion strategy beat buy & hold on Broadcom? (AVGO · backtested honestly)

RSI measures how stretched recent gains are versus losses on a 0-100 scale — a gauge of stretch, not a prediction of a turn.

Lagged buy & hold2021-10-29 → 2026-10-28 · 1,254 barsCosts & slippage onvs Buy & HoldHypothetical · not advice
Total return
+37.0%
Buy & hold +622.9%
vs Buy & Hold
-586 pts
lagged the benchmark
Max drawdown
-11.9%
Sharpe 0.56 · 3 trades
The honest read

Over this period, RSI Reversion on Broadcom returned +37.0%, while simply buying and holding returned +622.9% — it lagged buy & hold by 586 points, with a worst drawdown of -11.9%. It traded 3 times and sat in cash about 96% of the time. It's a mechanism you test.

What this settles — and the next dig

It lagged buy & hold over this window — that's a result, and a backtest you can kill for free just did its job. Re-tuning this same idea until it looks better only adds another shot at looking good by luck, so the honest next move is a fresh one: test a different strategy on Broadcom, or build your own — free. Most ideas die cheaply right here, and that's exactly how the rare one that holds up gets found.

Or stop here — walking away from an idea that didn't beat simply holding is a result, not a failure.

Interactive

Run it yourself

Change the parameters and the window, then re-run — no account needed.

Change the rules? Open the RSI Reversion rules on Broadcom in the no-code builder — the same rules tested here — and make them your own.

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Put this honest verdict on your site

A live badge that re-runs itself and links back here. Free to embed on any blog, newsletter or forum — it shows the honest result, beat or lagged.

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an honest backtest — real costs on, measured against simply buying & holding

How to read this
  • • The strategy line is RSI Reversion on Broadcom; the dashed line is simply buying and holding AVGO. Beating the dashed line is the whole point — many strategies don't.
  • • Max drawdown is the worst peak-to-trough fall you'd have sat through. A higher return with a much deeper drawdown is not obviously better.
  • • Every fill assumes next-open execution with costs & slippage on — no acting on prices you couldn't have known.
  • • A small number of trades means a small sample. Treat a great-looking result on a handful of trades with suspicion.
What this is — and isn't

This is a hypothetical backtest of a well-known mechanism on past data. It is not advice, not a prediction, and not a claim that the strategy works. We hold no funds and place no orders. The value here is the ability to test an idea honestly — see where it would have helped, and where it would have hurt — before you ever risk real money on your own broker.

How this is computed → · who's behind it · where a backtest fits

See what actually beats buy & hold — most don't, here are the rare few that do →

Indicator and strategy names identify the published rule being tested; no affiliation with, or endorsement by, any person or trademark owner is implied.