Stratsemble

Drawdown Recovery Calculator

A loss and the gain needed to undo it are not symmetric. Lose 50% and you don't need 50% back — you need 100%, because you're now compounding off a smaller base. This is why capping drawdown matters more than chasing the highest return: the deeper the hole, the more brutally the recovery math turns against you.

Gain to recover
25.0%
on the reduced balance
The recovery math, at a glance
DrawdownGain to recover
10%+11.1%
20%+25.0%
30%+42.9%
40%+66.7%
50%+100.0%
60%+150.0%
75%+300.0%
90%+900.0%
How it's calculated

Gain to recover = drawdown ÷ (1 − drawdown). At a 20% loss that's 0.20 ÷ 0.80 = 25%; at 50% it's 0.50 ÷ 0.50 = 100%. It's a property of arithmetic, not of any particular market. Educational tool, not advice.

The part the math doesn't show

The recovery percentage is only half the cost. The other half is the time and nerve it takes to sit through the hole without quitting — a deep drawdown can last months or years, and most people sell near the bottom of one rather than wait it out. When you read a backtest, treat its worst drawdown as a stretch you'd actually have had to live through, not just a number. How to read a backtest honestly →

These are the mechanics

A calculator shows what a rule should do on paper. Whether a strategy actually beats simply buying and holding — costs on, losses shown, no hindsight — is a different question, and the only one that pays. Test one on real data, free, no sign-up.